Faculty, Staff and Student Publications

Publication Date

4-1-2023

Journal

Radiology

Abstract

Background Radiomics is the extraction of predefined mathematic features from medical images for the prediction of variables of clinical interest. While some studies report superlative accuracy of radiomic machine learning (ML) models, the published methodology is often incomplete, and the results are rarely validated in external testing data sets. Purpose To characterize the type, prevalence, and statistical impact of methodologic errors present in radiomic ML studies. Materials and Methods Radiomic ML publications were reviewed for the presence of performance-inflating methodologic flaws. Common flaws were subsequently reproduced with randomly generated features interpolated from publicly available radiomic data sets to demonstrate the precarious nature of reported findings. Results In an assessment of radiomic ML publications, the authors uncovered two general categories of data analysis errors: inconsistent partitioning and unproductive feature associations. In simulations, the authors demonstrated that inconsistent partitioning augments radiomic ML accuracy by 1.4 times from unbiased performance and that correcting for flawed methodologic results in areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve approaching a value of 0.5 (random chance). With use of randomly generated features, the authors illustrated that unproductive associations between radiomic features and gene sets can imply false causality for biologic phenomenon. Conclusion Radiomic machine learning studies may contain methodologic flaws that undermine their validity. This study provides a review template to avoid such flaws. © RSNA, 2022

Keywords

Humans, Machine Learning, ROC Curve, Retrospective Studies

DOI

10.1148/radiol.220715

PMID

36537895

PMCID

PMC10068883

PubMedCentral® Posted Date

12-20-2022

PubMedCentral® Full Text Version

Post-print

radiol.220715.VA.jpg (104 kB)
Graphical Abstract

Published Open-Access

yes

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