Children’s Nutrition Research Center Staff Publications
Language
English
Publication Date
11-1-2025
Journal
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
DOI
10.1177/13872877251375098
PMID
40924585
PMCID
PMC12541115
PubMedCentral® Posted Date
9-9-2025
PubMedCentral® Full Text Version
Post-print
Abstract
Genetic risk prediction for Alzheimer's disease (AD) has high potential impact, yet few studies have assessed the reliability of various polygenic risk score (PRS) methods at the individual level. Here, we evaluated the reliability of AD PRS estimates among 6338 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. We compared four PRS models that have been previously associated with dementia risk. Despite similar population-level performance metrics, inter-model reliability of individual-level risk assessment was low, even among individuals classified in the top and bottom deciles. These findings raise serious concerns about the downstream application of PRS for guiding interventions for AD.
Keywords
Humans, Alzheimer Disease, Male, Female, Multifactorial Inheritance, Aged, Reproducibility of Results, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Risk Assessment, Aged, 80 and over, Risk Factors, Genetic Risk Score, Alzheimer's disease, polygenic risk score, reliability, translational
Published Open-Access
yes
Recommended Citation
Xue, Diane; Blue, Elizabeth E; Wood, Alexis C; et al., "Risk Score Roulette: A Cautionary Tale of Polygenic Risk Score Reliability" (2025). Children’s Nutrition Research Center Staff Publications. 370.
https://digitalcommons.library.tmc.edu/staff_pub/370
Included in
Biochemical Phenomena, Metabolism, and Nutrition Commons, Dietetics and Clinical Nutrition Commons, Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Metabolism Commons, Nutrition Commons